Research

What’s Priced In | Weekly Market Commentary | April 15, 2019

KEY TAKEAWAYS We look at what’s priced into stocks following year-to-date strength to help gauge potential impact of surprises and disappointments. When we look at what’s not priced in, we see several possible surprises that could propel the stock market to new highs....

Market Insight Monthly | March 2019

ECONOMY MIXED ECONOMIC SIGNALS CONTINUE IN MARCH U.S. economic data were mixed in March, although leading indicators signaled low odds of a recession in the coming year [Figure 1]. The Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index, an aggregate of ten leading indicators,...

Signs of Spring | Weekly Economic Commentary | April 8, 2019

KEY TAKEAWAYS The U.S. economy has suffered from seasonal first-quarter weakness recently. Seasons change, and growth typically rebounds as the year progresses Leading indicators in jobs, manufacturing, and markets suggest economic acceleration. Click here to download...

Q1 Earnings Preview | Weekly Market Commentary | April 8, 2019

KEY TAKEAWAYS We expect roughly flat earnings for the first quarter, putting the seven-quarter streak of growth in jeopardy The picture seems quite a bit better when looking beyond the first quarter, which we see as a trough in growth. We expect enough economic growth...

Q1 Earnings Preview | Weekly Market Commentary | April 8, 2019

KEY TAKEAWAYS We expect roughly flat earnings for the first quarter, putting the seven-quarter streak of growth in jeopardy The picture seems quite a bit better when looking beyond the first quarter, which we see as a trough in growth. We expect enough economic growth...

Signals We See in Q1 2019 Results | Client Letter | April 4, 2019

April brings showers, baseball, and historically, the best month of the year for the S&P 500 Index (for the last 20 years). On top of that, the S&P 500 had its best first quarter since 1998, and in March we celebrated the 10-year anniversary of the current...